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2024-12-14 11:20:45

Secondly, the draft of the heavy meeting has landed. Compared with the previous meeting, the general content is basically the same, only a few points exceed expectations. Let's have a brief chat with you:1, improve the financial deficit ratio. Proactive fiscal policy,Recently, domestic-funded institutions have made a large net outflow continuously, and the entry of mysterious funds is not continuous. Therefore, Lao Liu judged that once the incremental funds are insufficient to follow the trend, the market is likely to fluctuate and consolidate, so don't chase after it in the short term, especially in terms of consumption!


3. Implement special actions to boost domestic demand. I won't say more. The expectation has already landed, but it depends on implementation. Before, the market had expected to issue special treasury bonds to residents to subsidize consumption. Now consumer stocks are accelerating in the short term, so be careful to cash in the risks.December 13th Morning Post: Heavy landing, be careful to cash in the risks!Therefore, what is lacking at the moment is substantial and beneficial, such as lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. Technically, my judgment remains unchanged, and the nature of the small high point of 3494 points has not changed. Unless it can be broken through in volume, it will need to be adjusted at that time. If it is short-term, continue to wait and see, and don't blindly chase after it.


Today, we will continue to wait and see, and now we will wait, or wait for the volume to break through a new high, and then follow the funds to play a new direction; Either wait for the initiative to retreat and digest the daily deviation pressure, and then look for a low-sucking opportunity!2, the issuance of ultra long-term construction bonds, increase the use of local special bonds. This has always been a good hand at pulling GDP, and it is good for infrastructure and new quality productivity.At present, the scope of investment includes national debt and index funds. In fact, I think the biggest advantage is that under the background of the proliferation of index funds, you can focus on tracking the varieties selected above. In order to encourage individual pensions to enter the market, the products selected are generally not too bad.

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